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Table
📅 9 Sep – 9 Oct 2026
ELO point changes and match upsets in the 30 days to 9 Oct 2026
Top Gainers
30 days
1
Newmarket Town
Isthmian 1 North · #207
+63
2
Stafford Rangers
NPL 1 West · #171
+57
3
Didcot Town
Southern 1 Central · #203
+50
4
Marlow
Southern 1 Central · #251
+48
5
South Park
Isthmian 1 SE · #213
+46
6
Wimborne Town
Southern South · #118
+44
7
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
NPL 1 Midlands · #211
+44
8
Loughborough Students
NPL 1 Midlands · #245
+41
9
Poole Town
Southern South · #88
+39
10
Worthing
National Lge · #16
+38
Biggest Drops
30 days
1
Aveley FC
Isthmian Premier · #87
-54
2
Hartlepool United
National Lge · #19
-53
3
Maldon & Tiptree
Isthmian Premier · #164
-48
4
Flackwell Heath
Southern 1 Central · #325
-46
5
Gateshead
National Lge · #26
-41
6
Sittingbourne
Isthmian 1 SE · #163
-41
7
Maidstone United
Nat. Lge South · #28
-40
8
St Ives Town
NPL 1 Midlands · #263
-40
9
Stocksbridge Park Steels
NPL 1 East · #250
-36
10
Fakenham Town
Isthmian 1 North · #331
-36
Biggest Upsets
30 days
Ranked by deviation from pre-match ELO probability
Click any match for full details
1
Farnham Town
1–2
Cirencester Town
Away win (only 1% expected)
22 Sep 26
FA Cup
H 92%
D 7%
A 1%
Δ92
2
Tadley Calleva
2–1
Dartford
Home win (only 15% expected)
03 Oct 26
FA Cup
H 15%
D 9%
A 76%
Δ89
3
Hednesford Town
0–1
Coventry United
Away win (only 7% expected)
19 Sep 26
FA Cup
H 83%
D 10%
A 7%
Δ88
4
Weymouth
1–5
SE Dons
Away win (only 7% expected)
03 Oct 26
FA Cup
H 83%
D 10%
A 7%
Δ87
5
Chichester City
2–3
SE Dons
Away win (only 8% expected)
19 Sep 26
FA Cup
H 81%
D 11%
A 8%
Δ86
6
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
2–1
Braintree Town
Home win (only 17% expected)
03 Oct 26
FA Cup
H 17%
D 11%
A 72%
Δ86
7
Stafford Rangers
3–2
Hereford FC
Home win (only 18% expected)
19 Sep 26
FA Cup
H 18%
D 12%
A 70%
Δ84
8
Alvechurch
1–2
Bourne Town
Away win (only 11% expected)
26 Sep 26
FA Trophy
H 76%
D 13%
A 11%
Δ84
9
Maidstone United
0–2
Cray Wanderers
Away win (only 12% expected)
22 Sep 26
FA Cup
H 75%
D 13%
A 12%
Δ82
10
Ebbsfleet United
1–2
Sholing
Away win (only 13% expected)
03 Oct 26
FA Cup
H 74%
D 13%
A 13%
Δ82
Match detail
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