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📅 17 Apr – 17 May 2026
ELO point changes and match upsets in the 30 days to 17 May 2026
Top Gainers
30 days
1
Hanworth Villa
Isthmian 1 SC · #145
+30
2
Racing Club Warwick
NPL 1 Midlands · #210
+29
3
Kidderminster Harriers
Nat. Lge North · #14
+27
4
Melksham Town FC
Southern 1 South · #285
+26
5
Redbridge
Isthmian 1 North · #190
+26
6
Stanway Rovers
Isthmian 1 North · #174
+26
7
Yate Town
Southern South · #148
+24
8
Hyde United
NPL Premier · #120
+23
9
Prescot Cables
NPL Premier · #159
+22
10
Portishead Town
Southern 1 South · #162
+21
Biggest Drops
30 days
1
FC United of Manchester
NPL Premier · #92
-34
2
Frome Town
Southern 1 South · #107
-27
3
Gainsborough Trinity
NPL Premier · #90
-23
4
Aldershot Town
National Lge · #21
-21
5
Heaton Stannington
NPL 1 East · #256
-21
6
Cray Wanderers
Isthmian Premier · #93
-21
7
Havant & Waterlooville
Southern South · #107
-20
8
Warrington Town
NPL Premier · #148
-20
9
Waltham Abbey
Isthmian 1 North · #170
-20
10
Bowers & Pitsea
Isthmian 1 North · #204
-20
Biggest Upsets
30 days
Ranked by deviation from pre-match ELO probability
1
Melksham Town FC
2–0
Frome Town
Home win (only 19% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 19%
D 14%
A 67%
Δ81
2
Dorking Wanderers
1–3
Bath City
Away win (only 17% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 67%
D 16%
A 17%
Δ77
3
Chelmsford City
1–3
Eastbourne Borough
Away win (only 19% expected)
25 Apr 26
H 64%
D 17%
A 19%
Δ75
4
Gainsborough Trinity
1–2
Prescot Cables
Away win (only 20% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 63%
D 17%
A 20%
Δ74
5
Dartford
2–3
Cray Valley PM
Away win (only 20% expected)
25 Apr 26
H 62%
D 18%
A 20%
Δ73
6
Scunthorpe United
0–1
Eastleigh
Away win (only 21% expected)
25 Apr 26
H 61%
D 18%
A 21%
Δ73
7
Felixstowe & Walton United FC
2–3
Redbridge
Away win (only 21% expected)
28 Apr 26
H 61%
D 18%
A 21%
Δ73
8
Stratford Town
1–2
Bromsgrove Sporting FC
Away win (only 23% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 58%
D 19%
A 23%
Δ71
9
Hadley
0–1
Aylesbury United
Away win (only 23% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 58%
D 19%
A 23%
Δ71
10
FC United of Manchester
0–1
Hyde United
Away win (only 23% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 58%
D 19%
A 23%
Δ71